Wednesday, April 20, 2016

Neuren Pharmaceuticals (NEU.AX) - Awaiting TBI Phase 2 results

Clinical results are now imminent for Neuren's Phase2 trial in TBI (Traumatic Brain Injury - moderate to severe). Positive results in this indication would significantly boost Neuren's market value. This indication has a large 1 million US & EU potential patient population and its without an FDA approved disruptive drug.

Below is my Valuation Model with assumptions. It shows NEU.AX undervalued by as much as 200%.


Last year, I wrote about Neuren's drug here.


This next slide is from Neuren's latest investor presentation:



The status of Neuren's second TBI trial (mild or concussion) has become uncertain. This latest investor presentation does not provide a program timeline update, results were expected in 2Q16. The presentation states enrollment is proving difficult and the trial is under review.



Disclosure – NEU.AX is a very small AU/NZ biopharma company that carries substantial risk. While its potential returns may be high its losses may also be high.
I am long NEU.AX.
I do not short stocks.

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